Game Result Predictions
Wednesday, January 29

Final			R1 Prediction					ELO Prediction
Bud Walton Arena			Score	Spread	Win Prob.	Over/Under		Score	Spread	Win Prob.
	South Carolina (18-13, Road 6-6)	79	0	+0	50%	0	✘	0	+4	42%	✘
	Arkansas (20-12, Home 15-4)	77	0	+0	50%	Actual: 156 (156)		4	-4	58%

Final			R1 Prediction					ELO Prediction
Christl Arena			Score	Spread	Win Prob.	Over/Under		Score	Spread	Win Prob.
	Bucknell (14-20, Road 4-14)	59	0	+0	50%	0	✘	0	+6	38%	✔
	Army (14-15, Home 8-6)	68	0	+0	50%	Actual: 127 (127)		6	-6	62%

Final			R1 Prediction					ELO Prediction
ExtraMile Arena			Score	Spread	Win Prob.	Over/Under		Score	Spread	Win Prob.
	San Jose State (6-24, Road 1-12)	71	0	+0	50%	0	✘	0	+28	8%	✔
	Boise State (19-12, Home 12-2)	99	0	+0	50%	Actual: 170 (170)		28	-28	92%

Final			R1 Prediction					ELO Prediction
Silvio Conte Forum			Score	Spread	Win Prob.	Over/Under		Score	Spread	Win Prob.
	Louisville (24-7, Road 6-5)	86	0	+0	50%	0	✘	18	-18	82%	✔
	Boston College (13-19, Home 8-10)	69	0	+0	50%	Actual: 155 (155)		0	+18	18%

Final			R1 Prediction					ELO Prediction
Case Gym			Score	Spread	Win Prob.	Over/Under		Score	Spread	Win Prob.
	Loyola-Maryland (14-17, Road 5-13)	77	0	+0	50%	0	✘	0	+16	20%	✔
	Boston University (20-13, Home 11-3)	92	0	+0	50%	Actual: 169 (169)		16	-16	80%

Final			R1 Prediction					ELO Prediction
Carver Arena			Score	Spread	Win Prob.	Over/Under		Score	Spread	Win Prob.
	Valparaiso (18-16, Road 4-11)	69	0	+0	50%	0	✘	0	+8	32%	✔
	Bradley (22-11, Home 14-2)	80	0	+0	50%	Actual: 149 (149)		8	-8	68%

Final			R1 Prediction					ELO Prediction
Farris Center			Score	Spread	Win Prob.	Over/Under		Score	Spread	Win Prob.
	Southeastern Louisiana (5-23, Road 2-14)	68	0	+0	50%	0	✘	0	+12	29%	✔
	Central Arkansas (9-21, Home 7-4)	88	0	+0	50%	Actual: 156 (156)		12	-12	71%

Final			R1 Prediction					ELO Prediction
Cotterell Court			Score	Spread	Win Prob.	Over/Under		Score	Spread	Win Prob.
	Lafayette (18-12, Road 10-7)	80	0	+0	50%	0	✘	0	+12	25%	✘
	Colgate (24-9, Home 14-2)	78	0	+0	50%	Actual: 158 (158)		12	-12	75%

Final			R1 Prediction					ELO Prediction
Moby Arena			Score	Spread	Win Prob.	Over/Under		Score	Spread	Win Prob.
	Nevada (19-12, Road 4-7)	91	0	+0	50%	0	✘	-0	+0	48%	✘
	Colorado State (19-12, Home 11-4)	92	0	+0	50%	Actual: 183 (183)		0	+0	52%

Final			R1 Prediction					ELO Prediction
Gampel Pavilion			Score	Spread	Win Prob.	Over/Under		Score	Spread	Win Prob.
	Temple (14-17, Road 4-8)	63	0	+0	50%	0	✘	0	+16	19%	✔
	Connecticut (19-12, Home 14-3)	78	0	+0	50%	Actual: 141 (141)		16	-16	81%

Final			R1 Prediction					ELO Prediction
PPG Paints Arena			Score	Spread	Win Prob.	Over/Under		Score	Spread	Win Prob.
	Dayton (29-2, Road 9-0)	73	0	+0	50%	0	✘	16	-16	81%	✔
	Duquesne (21-9, Home 10-4)	69	0	+0	50%	Actual: 142 (142)		0	+16	19%

Final			R1 Prediction					ELO Prediction
Minges Coliseum			Score	Spread	Win Prob.	Over/Under		Score	Spread	Win Prob.
	Houston (23-8, Road 6-6)	69	0	+0	50%	0	✘	20	-20	86%	✔
	East Carolina (11-20, Home 9-7)	59	0	+0	50%	Actual: 128 (128)		0	+20	14%

Final			R1 Prediction					ELO Prediction
Freedom Hall Civic Center			Score	Spread	Win Prob.	Over/Under		Score	Spread	Win Prob.
	Mercer (15-15, Road 8-6)	71	0	+0	50%	0	✘	0	+20	14%	✘
	East Tennessee State (27-4, Home 13-1)	55	0	+0	50%	Actual: 126 (126)		20	-20	86%

Final			R1 Prediction					ELO Prediction
Rose Hill Gymnasium			Score	Spread	Win Prob.	Over/Under		Score	Spread	Win Prob.
	Saint Bonaventure (18-12, Road 7-7)	62	0	+0	50%	0	✘	14	-14	76%	✔
	Fordham (9-22, Home 6-12)	55	0	+0	50%	Actual: 117 (117)		0	+14	24%

Final			R1 Prediction					ELO Prediction
Timmons Arena			Score	Spread	Win Prob.	Over/Under		Score	Spread	Win Prob.
	VMI (6-24, Road 2-12)	72	0	+0	50%	0	✘	0	+30	7%	✔
	Furman (22-7, Home 11-1)	74	0	+0	50%	Actual: 146 (146)		30	-30	93%

Final			R1 Prediction					ELO Prediction
Charles E. Smith Center			Score	Spread	Win Prob.	Over/Under		Score	Spread	Win Prob.
	Davidson (16-14, Road 4-9)	104	0	+0	50%	0	✘	12	-12	76%	✘
	George Washington (12-20, Home 7-9)	107	0	+0	50%	Actual: 211 (211)		0	+12	24%

Final			R1 Prediction					ELO Prediction
Chase Arena			Score	Spread	Win Prob.	Over/Under		Score	Spread	Win Prob.
	Binghamton (8-19, Road 3-12)	57	0	+0	50%	0	✘	0	+16	21%	✔
	Hartford (16-15, Home 7-8)	73	0	+0	50%	Actual: 130 (130)		16	-16	79%

Final			R1 Prediction					ELO Prediction
Sharp Gymnasium			Score	Spread	Win Prob.	Over/Under		Score	Spread	Win Prob.
	Incarnate Word (6-22, Road 2-13)	84	0	+0	50%	0	✘	0	+2	45%	✘
	Houston Baptist (4-25, Home 2-9)	82	0	+0	50%	Actual: 166 (166)		2	-2	55%

Final			R1 Prediction					ELO Prediction
Redbird Arena			Score	Spread	Win Prob.	Over/Under		Score	Spread	Win Prob.
	Evansville (8-23, Road 3-10)	66	0	+0	50%	0	✘	0	+12	24%	✔
	Illinois State (9-21, Home 8-6)	77	0	+0	50%	Actual: 143 (143)		12	-12	76%

Final			R1 Prediction					ELO Prediction
Hulman Center			Score	Spread	Win Prob.	Over/Under		Score	Spread	Win Prob.
	Drake (18-14, Road 2-10)	56	0	+0	50%	0	✘	0	+8	35%	✔
	Indiana State (17-12, Home 11-1)	58	0	+0	50%	Actual: 114 (114)		8	-8	65%

Final			R1 Prediction					ELO Prediction
Hilton Coliseum			Score	Spread	Win Prob.	Over/Under		Score	Spread	Win Prob.
	Baylor (26-4, Road 9-2)	67	0	+0	50%	0	✘	22	-22	87%	✔
	Iowa State (12-20, Home 11-6)	53	0	+0	50%	Actual: 120 (120)		0	+22	13%

Final			R1 Prediction					ELO Prediction
Bramlage Coliseum			Score	Spread	Win Prob.	Over/Under		Score	Spread	Win Prob.
	Oklahoma (19-12, Road 4-8)	53	0	+0	50%	0	✘	10	-10	69%	✘
	Kansas State (11-21, Home 9-8)	61	0	+0	50%	Actual: 114 (114)		0	+10	31%

Final			R1 Prediction					ELO Prediction
Rupp Arena			Score	Spread	Win Prob.	Over/Under		Score	Spread	Win Prob.
	Vanderbilt (11-21, Road 1-9)	62	0	+0	50%	0	✘	0	+36	5%	✔
	Kentucky (25-6, Home 16-2)	71	0	+0	50%	Actual: 133 (133)		36	-36	95%

Final			R1 Prediction					ELO Prediction
Tom Gola Arena			Score	Spread	Win Prob.	Over/Under		Score	Spread	Win Prob.
	Saint Louis (22-8, Road 7-4)	77	0	+0	50%	0	✘	10	-10	71%	✔
	La Salle (15-15, Home 8-7)	76	0	+0	50%	Actual: 153 (153)		0	+10	29%

Final			R1 Prediction					ELO Prediction
Pete Maravich Assembly Center			Score	Spread	Win Prob.	Over/Under		Score	Spread	Win Prob.
	Alabama (16-15, Road 4-8)	76	0	+0	50%	0	✘	0	+12	26%	✔
	LSU (21-10, Home 15-2)	90	0	+0	50%	Actual: 166 (166)		12	-12	74%

Final			R1 Prediction					ELO Prediction
H&HP Complex			Score	Spread	Win Prob.	Over/Under		Score	Spread	Win Prob.
	Nicholls (17-10, Road 7-8)	74	0	+0	50%	0	✘	10	-10	70%	✘
	McNeese (11-17, Home 6-5)	80	0	+0	50%	Actual: 154 (154)		0	+10	30%

Final			R1 Prediction					ELO Prediction
Breslin Center			Score	Spread	Win Prob.	Over/Under		Score	Spread	Win Prob.
	Northwestern (8-23, Road 2-10)	50	0	+0	50%	0	✘	0	+32	5%	✔
	Michigan State (22-9, Home 12-3)	79	0	+0	50%	Actual: 129 (129)		32	-32	95%

Final			R1 Prediction					ELO Prediction
Alumni Hall			Score	Spread	Win Prob.	Over/Under		Score	Spread	Win Prob.
	Holy Cross (3-28, Road 0-16)	66	0	+0	50%	0	✘	0	+20	16%	✔
	Navy (13-16, Home 9-5)	81	0	+0	50%	Actual: 147 (147)		20	-20	84%

Final			R1 Prediction					ELO Prediction
Lundholm Gymnasium			Score	Spread	Win Prob.	Over/Under		Score	Spread	Win Prob.
	Vermont (25-7, Road 12-3)	56	0	+0	50%	0	✘	18	-18	82%	✔
	New Hampshire (13-15, Home 8-3)	43	0	+0	50%	Actual: 99 (99)		0	+18	18%

Final			R1 Prediction					ELO Prediction
Dreamstyle Arena			Score	Spread	Win Prob.	Over/Under		Score	Spread	Win Prob.
	San Diego State (29-2, Road 11-0)	85	0	+0	50%	0	✘	20	-20	85%	✔
	New Mexico (18-14, Home 14-3)	57	0	+0	50%	Actual: 142 (142)		0	+20	15%

Final			R1 Prediction					ELO Prediction
Lakefront Arena			Score	Spread	Win Prob.	Over/Under		Score	Spread	Win Prob.
	Northwestern State (12-15, Road 5-10)	82	0	+0	50%	0	✘	8	-8	65%	✔
	New Orleans (5-21, Home 2-8)	74	0	+0	50%	Actual: 156 (156)		0	+8	35%

Final			R1 Prediction					ELO Prediction
McLeod Center			Score	Spread	Win Prob.	Over/Under		Score	Spread	Win Prob.
	Missouri State (16-17, Road 3-10)	66	0	+0	50%	0	✘	0	+12	27%	✔
	Northern Iowa (23-6, Home 14-0)	95	0	+0	50%	Actual: 161 (161)		12	-12	73%

Final			R1 Prediction					ELO Prediction
Purcell Pavilion			Score	Spread	Win Prob.	Over/Under		Score	Spread	Win Prob.
	Wake Forest (13-18, Road 2-11)	80	0	+0	50%	0	✘	0	+16	20%	✔
	Notre Dame (20-12, Home 15-4)	90	0	+0	50%	Actual: 170 (170)		16	-16	80%

Final			R1 Prediction					ELO Prediction
Mabee Center			Score	Spread	Win Prob.	Over/Under		Score	Spread	Win Prob.
	South Dakota State (20-10, Road 6-9)	76	0	+0	50%	0	✘	4	-4	57%	✔
	Oral Roberts (13-14, Home 9-1)	61	0	+0	50%	Actual: 137 (137)		0	+4	43%

Final			R1 Prediction					ELO Prediction
Bryce Jordan Center			Score	Spread	Win Prob.	Over/Under		Score	Spread	Win Prob.
	Indiana (20-12, Road 2-8)	49	0	+0	50%	0	✘	0	+4	41%	✔
	Penn State (21-10, Home 14-3)	64	0	+0	50%	Actual: 113 (113)		4	-4	59%

Final			R1 Prediction					ELO Prediction
Yanitelli Center			Score	Spread	Win Prob.	Over/Under		Score	Spread	Win Prob.
	Monmouth (18-13, Road 6-10)	63	0	+0	50%	0	✘	0	+8	32%	✔
	Saint Peter's (18-12, Home 11-3)	66	0	+0	50%	Actual: 129 (129)		8	-8	68%

Final			R1 Prediction					ELO Prediction
Bernard G. Johnson Coliseum			Score	Spread	Win Prob.	Over/Under		Score	Spread	Win Prob.
	Texas A&M-Corpus Christi (12-18, Road 4-11)	61	0	+0	50%	0	✘	0	+6	38%	✔
	Sam Houston State (14-13, Home 8-3)	80	0	+0	50%	Actual: 141 (141)		6	-6	62%

Final			R1 Prediction					ELO Prediction
Pete Hanna Center			Score	Spread	Win Prob.	Over/Under		Score	Spread	Win Prob.
	Chattanooga (18-13, Road 7-8)	92	0	+0	50%	0	✘	14	-14	78%	✔
	Samford (7-23, Home 4-8)	84	0	+0	50%	Actual: 176 (176)		0	+14	22%

Final			R1 Prediction					ELO Prediction
Prudential Center			Score	Spread	Win Prob.	Over/Under		Score	Spread	Win Prob.
	DePaul (15-16, Road 4-9)	57	0	+0	50%	0	✘	0	+20	16%	✔
	Seton Hall (21-9, Home 11-4)	64	0	+0	50%	Actual: 121 (121)		20	-20	84%

Final			R1 Prediction					ELO Prediction
Banterra Center			Score	Spread	Win Prob.	Over/Under		Score	Spread	Win Prob.
	Loyola-Chicago (20-11, Road 5-6)	63	0	+0	50%	0	✘	4	-4	61%	✘
	Southern Illinois (15-16, Home 11-3)	68	0	+0	50%	Actual: 131 (131)		0	+4	39%

Final			R1 Prediction					ELO Prediction
Johnson Coliseum			Score	Spread	Win Prob.	Over/Under		Score	Spread	Win Prob.
	Abilene Christian (16-11, Road 7-8)	61	0	+0	50%	0	✘	0	+16	21%	✔
	Stephen F. Austin (25-3, Home 13-1)	71	0	+0	50%	Actual: 132 (132)		16	-16	79%

Final			R1 Prediction					ELO Prediction
Ed and Rae Schollmaier Arena			Score	Spread	Win Prob.	Over/Under		Score	Spread	Win Prob.
	Texas (19-12, Road 6-5)	62	0	+0	50%	0	✘	4	-4	61%	✔
	TCU (15-16, Home 13-5)	61	0	+0	50%	Actual: 123 (123)		0	+4	39%

Final			R1 Prediction					ELO Prediction
United Supermarkets Arena			Score	Spread	Win Prob.	Over/Under		Score	Spread	Win Prob.
	West Virginia (21-10, Road 4-8)	81	0	+0	50%	0	✘	0	+4	44%	✔
	Texas Tech (18-13, Home 13-4)	89	0	+0	50%	Actual: 170 (170)		4	-4	56%

Final			R1 Prediction					ELO Prediction
McAlister Field House			Score	Spread	Win Prob.	Over/Under		Score	Spread	Win Prob.
	Wofford (17-16, Road 6-10)	79	0	+0	50%	0	✘	20	-20	85%	✔
	The Citadel (3-24, Home 0-11)	56	0	+0	50%	Actual: 135 (135)		0	+20	15%

Final			R1 Prediction					ELO Prediction
Devlin Fieldhouse			Score	Spread	Win Prob.	Over/Under		Score	Spread	Win Prob.
	South Florida (14-17, Road 3-6)	66	0	+0	50%	0	✘	8	-8	64%	✔
	Tulane (12-18, Home 7-7)	52	0	+0	50%	Actual: 118 (118)		0	+8	36%

Final			R1 Prediction					ELO Prediction
Addition Financial Arena			Score	Spread	Win Prob.	Over/Under		Score	Spread	Win Prob.
	Memphis (21-10, Road 5-6)	59	0	+0	50%	0	✘	4	-4	60%	✔
	UCF (16-14, Home 10-6)	57	0	+0	50%	Actual: 116 (116)		0	+4	40%

Final			R1 Prediction					ELO Prediction
William D. Mullins Memorial Center			Score	Spread	Win Prob.	Over/Under		Score	Spread	Win Prob.
	Saint Joseph's (6-26, Road 2-12)	76	0	+0	50%	0	✘	0	+20	16%	✔
	UMass (14-17, Home 11-5)	91	0	+0	50%	Actual: 167 (167)		20	-20	84%

Final			R1 Prediction					ELO Prediction
Tsongas Center			Score	Spread	Win Prob.	Over/Under		Score	Spread	Win Prob.
	Stony Brook (19-13, Road 8-8)	84	0	+0	50%	0	✘	4	-4	56%	✔
	UMass-Lowell (12-19, Home 7-9)	76	0	+0	50%	Actual: 160 (160)		0	+4	44%

Final			R1 Prediction					ELO Prediction
UMBC Event Center			Score	Spread	Win Prob.	Over/Under		Score	Spread	Win Prob.
	Albany (13-18, Road 5-11)	67	0	+0	50%	0	✘	0	+12	26%	✘
	UMBC (12-17, Home 7-5)	63	0	+0	50%	Actual: 130 (130)		12	-12	74%

Final			R1 Prediction					ELO Prediction
UCCU Center			Score	Spread	Win Prob.	Over/Under		Score	Spread	Win Prob.
	California Baptist (17-10, Road 6-5)	65	0	+0	50%	0	✘	6	-6	63%	✔
	Utah Valley (8-19, Home 3-7)	61	0	+0	50%	Actual: 126 (126)		0	+6	37%

Final			R1 Prediction					ELO Prediction
Friel Court			Score	Spread	Win Prob.	Over/Under		Score	Spread	Win Prob.
	Arizona State (20-11, Road 6-5)	65	0	+0	50%	0	✘	8	-8	66%	✘
	Washington State (16-16, Home 12-5)	67	0	+0	50%	Actual: 132 (132)		0	+8	34%

Final			R1 Prediction					ELO Prediction
Ramsey Center			Score	Spread	Win Prob.	Over/Under		Score	Spread	Win Prob.
	UNCG (21-9, Road 9-4)	72	0	+0	50%	0	✘	4	-4	56%	✔
	Western Carolina (17-12, Home 8-4)	58	0	+0	50%	Actual: 130 (130)		0	+4	44%

Final			R1 Prediction					ELO Prediction
Cintas Center			Score	Spread	Win Prob.	Over/Under		Score	Spread	Win Prob.
	Marquette (18-12, Road 3-8)	84	0	+0	50%	0	✘	0	+4	41%	✘
	Xavier (19-13, Home 12-5)	82	0	+0	50%	Actual: 166 (166)		4	-4	59%